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Abstract:
The objective of the study was to analyze the variability of various climate indicators across
the agro-climatic zones (ACZs) of the Jema watershed. The variability was analyzed considering
mean annual rainfall (MARF, mm), mean daily minimum temperature (MDMinT, ◦C), and mean daily
maximum temperature (MDMaxT, ◦C). A one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was employed to
test whether group mean differences exist in the values of the indicated climatic indicators among the
ACZs of the watershed. The coefficient of variation was computed to analyze the degree of climate
variability among the ACZs. Rainfall and temperature data sets from 1983 to 2017 were obtained
from nearby meteorological stations. The effect of climate variability in the farming system was
assessed with reference to local farmers’ experience. Ultimately, the values of the stated indicators
of exposure to climate variability were indexed (standardized) in order to run arithmetic functions.
The MARF decreases towards sub-alpine ACZs. Based on the result of the ANOVA, the two-tailed
p-value (≤ 0.04) was less than 0.05; that is, there was a significant variation in MARF, MDMaxT (◦C),
and MDMinT (◦C) among the ACZs. The coefficient of variation showed the presence of variations of
0.18–0.88 for MARF, 0.18 to 0.85 for MDMaxT, and 0.02–0.95 for MDMinT across the ACZs. In all of
the indicators of exposure to climate variability, the lowest and highest indexed values of coefficient of
variation were observed in the moist–cool and sub-alpine ACZs, respectively. Overall, the aggregate
indexed values of exposure to various climate indicators ranged from 0.13–0.89 across the ACZs.
The level of exposure to climate variability increased when moving from moist–cool to sub-alpine
ACZs. The overall crop diversity declined across the ACZs of the watershed. Nevertheless, mainly
because of the rise in temperature, the climate became suitable for cultivating maize and tef even at
higher elevations. In order to adapt to the inter-annual variability of the rainy season, the process of
adapting early-maturing crops and the use of improved seeds needs to be enhanced in the watershed,
especially in the higher-elevation zones. It is also essential to revise traditional crop calendars and
crop zones across the ACSz.
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